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Germany appears to be installing ~1.3GW of solar per month, or ~15GW/year. Assuming battery storage picks up, it should not take very long to push their remaining coal generation out of the mix.


The goal is to get rid of coal around 3034-3038, and the goal seems very achievable given recent trends:

https://www.cleanenergywire.org/factsheets/spelling-out-coal...


Indeed, as long as they keep deploying clean energy, storage, and larger interconnects with neighboring grids, I think these targets are actually far too conservative; Germany could be done with coal by 2030 [1].

Tangentially, the world will be deploying ~660GW of solar per year by the end of this year (2024), and is on track to achieve a 1TW/year deployment rate within 18 months [2] [3]. Good trajectories, just need storage and transmission to pick up the pace.

[1] https://app.electricitymaps.com/zone/DE?wind=false&solar=fal... ("ElectricityMaps: Germany")

[2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40727619 (citations)

[3] https://www.economist.com/leaders/2024/06/20/the-exponential... | https://archive.ph/JuoYa ("The Economist: The exponential growth of solar power will change the world")




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