For interesting values of "win." It's the format that's being distributed (as opposed to HD-DVD), but DVDs are still the more common format. (No statistics, just comparisons of DVD and Blu-ray sections at local retailers. DVD's always bigger.)
Meanwhile, the only people I know who've bought any Blu-ray discs are those who own a PS3 and essentially got the player for free with the game console they were buying.
Sure, I agree with you. (When I say win, I was referring to HD-DVD vs Blu-ray). But what I'm saying is that it's too early to call Blu-ray a failure. It may well serve it's purpose quite well before streaming HD video inevitably becomes ubiquitous throughout the world.
I think the difference of opinion here is that some posters are evaluating Blu-ray against DVD, whereas I'm mainly viewing it as a transition format until bandwidth catches up, rather than the jump which was VHS->DVD.
Meanwhile, the only people I know who've bought any Blu-ray discs are those who own a PS3 and essentially got the player for free with the game console they were buying.