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The problem with that line of reasoning is that 15% increase isn't immediately available to the homeowner. To turn that into cash, they have to move. I imagine many homeowners could simply just not afford an uncapped property tax hike.

Part of the attraction of homeownership is security, in that homeowners aren't subject to fluctuations in the rental market. Prop 13 helps to reinforce that security, delaying the property tax increases to the point where the homeowner would be able to afford them -- at moving time. It's certainly not perfect, but I'm not convinced repealing prop 13 is the answer.

Perhaps a hybrid approach: live-in owners are subject to prop 13 caps on increases, but rental properties are not? Coupled with a repeal or loosening of rent control would allow landlords to pass on at least some of that cost increase to renters, which I think is a reasonable thing. Again, not perfect, but perhaps an improvement.




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