From my quick reading of the paper, Nyborg is arguing that based on Denmark's current immigration and minority birth rates, “by 2072 the total population [in Denmark] may consist of 60% ethnic Danes and 40% people of foreign origin.” Since these minority groups have lower average IQs than native Danes [1], the average Danish IQ will decrease from about 97 in 2013 to 93 in 2072. This "reverse Flynn-effect" will only increase with time since these foreign borns have a higher birth rate than native Danes. Nyborg then cites the correlation between a country's Average IQ and National GDP [2], and suggests that a drop of 5 IQ points is correlated with a 35% drop in Danish GDP. He ponders why many Danish politicians and intellectuals have ignored this data and encourages them to reconsider their policies before there is "an anti-Darwinian death spiral that dooms democracy, civilization, [and] welfare" (an argument very similar to that of Norway's Anders Breivik [3]).
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[1] Racial differences in IQ have been well established for decades but there is no conclusive evidence for its cause. To give some concrete numbers, for the United States, the authors of a 1994 book found the average IQ of African Americans to be 85, Latinos 89, Whites 103, East Asians 106, and Ashkenazi Jews 113. Amerindians tend to score worse on average than white populations but better on average than black populations. These differences appear to be consistent over the past four decades, and still exist (although to a weaker degree) even after controlling for SES.
If you don't believe me (which you should, since this is a highly controversial topic), there's more information on the Wikipedia article about Race and Intelligence. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Race_and_IQ
[3] In his manifesto, Breivik, who killed 77 people in the 2011 Oslo bombings, argued that Norway's (and the rest of Europe's) immigration policies are letting in too many immigrants, and these immigrants will eventually destroy Norway's national culture/heritage and bankrupt the nation's generous social policies. Breivik committed the attacks because he wanted Norwegians to discuss these policies before it was too late to change them.
https://lesacreduprintemps19.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/nyb...
From my quick reading of the paper, Nyborg is arguing that based on Denmark's current immigration and minority birth rates, “by 2072 the total population [in Denmark] may consist of 60% ethnic Danes and 40% people of foreign origin.” Since these minority groups have lower average IQs than native Danes [1], the average Danish IQ will decrease from about 97 in 2013 to 93 in 2072. This "reverse Flynn-effect" will only increase with time since these foreign borns have a higher birth rate than native Danes. Nyborg then cites the correlation between a country's Average IQ and National GDP [2], and suggests that a drop of 5 IQ points is correlated with a 35% drop in Danish GDP. He ponders why many Danish politicians and intellectuals have ignored this data and encourages them to reconsider their policies before there is "an anti-Darwinian death spiral that dooms democracy, civilization, [and] welfare" (an argument very similar to that of Norway's Anders Breivik [3]).
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[1] Racial differences in IQ have been well established for decades but there is no conclusive evidence for its cause. To give some concrete numbers, for the United States, the authors of a 1994 book found the average IQ of African Americans to be 85, Latinos 89, Whites 103, East Asians 106, and Ashkenazi Jews 113. Amerindians tend to score worse on average than white populations but better on average than black populations. These differences appear to be consistent over the past four decades, and still exist (although to a weaker degree) even after controlling for SES.
If you don't believe me (which you should, since this is a highly controversial topic), there's more information on the Wikipedia article about Race and Intelligence. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Race_and_IQ
[2] It's not the article he cited, but here is an excellent article that attempts to extend this theory. http://www.lagriffedulion.f2s.com/sft.htm
[3] In his manifesto, Breivik, who killed 77 people in the 2011 Oslo bombings, argued that Norway's (and the rest of Europe's) immigration policies are letting in too many immigrants, and these immigrants will eventually destroy Norway's national culture/heritage and bankrupt the nation's generous social policies. Breivik committed the attacks because he wanted Norwegians to discuss these policies before it was too late to change them.