The confusion is probably due to the other commentators assuming you knew about Nate's vote share predictions when you didn't.
You don't think you are confusing "the two", since you thought that Nate only had one set of numbers in the first place.
The other commentators see you using vote share results to question winner probabilities, and assume that you're confusing Nate's winner probabilities with Nate's vote share predictions, since it would make more sense to compare vote share results with the vote share predictions.
You don't think you are confusing "the two", since you thought that Nate only had one set of numbers in the first place.
The other commentators see you using vote share results to question winner probabilities, and assume that you're confusing Nate's winner probabilities with Nate's vote share predictions, since it would make more sense to compare vote share results with the vote share predictions.