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NicuCalcea
74 days ago
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Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran ...
The source is a company that works with Polymarket and sells Polymarket data (as well as Kalshi and other gambling platforms).
HDThoreaun
74 days ago
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Marginal revolution has been talking up prediction markets since before they existed. In fact polymarket probably was created after its founder read Cowen's thoughts on prediction markets.
Hammershaft
74 days ago
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The findings are consistent with academic research that these markets are well calibrated.
NicuCalcea
74 days ago
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Could be, you should reference the academic research then.
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