I feel like there was a lot of analysis of signals in this blog, but at the end is the only thing that matters: The dollar has power if and only if belief in the vast US institutions holds. I would extend that to go beyond our government, as the US private sector and cultural outputs are also incredibly powerful in this world.
This is very true. I have confidence in a car driver that has many years of experience, acts consistently and rationally, does not overly hesitate and is confident in their capabilities. I do not trust a driver that appears drunk at the wheel. I would argue that the Fed is the last bastion of sanity in the madhouse. When that goes and no longer acts impartially, the drunk driver is the default.
Isn’t that true of all (fiat) currencies? Maybe even gold and silver somewhat, too? There’s a faith that the value tomorrow will be somewhat similar today; otherwise trade becomes much more difficult.
