Yes, but honestly, I was this way at the beginning of my career, and I can't think of any examples of things I was right about.

My most successful "this is doomed to fail" grouchiness was social media games (like Farmville).

But I just can't think of any examples in the dev tooling space.

Being opposed to things that fail is not important.

You can rightly avoid new things 99% of the time, but if you miss the 1% of things that matter, you get left behind.

On the other hand if you adopt the latest thing 100% of the time and 99% of those things are a waste, you will probably be fine.