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If you have the brain power, the compute and control the hardware, what is there to prevent the take off feedback loop? Deepmind is at this point in the timeline uniquely positioned.





> If you have the brain power, the compute and control the hardware, what is there to prevent the take off feedback loop?

In the specific context of improving our AI hardware, for example, it's not as simple as coming up with a good idea -- hardware companies hire thousands of people to improve their designs. Prototypes need to be implemented, verified, quantified, compared thoroughly with the alternatives, then the idea is approved for production, which again leads to a cascade of implementation, verification, etc. until they can reach consumers. In order to make these improvements reach the consumer significantly faster you need to accelerate all of the steps of the very simplified pipeline mentioned earlier.

More generally, an argument can be made that we have been in that take off feedback loop for hundreds of years; it's just that the rate of improvement hasn't been as spectacular as we may have hoped for because each incremental step simply isn't that big of a deal and it takes quite a bit of time to reach the next one.


The fact that all computational problems have a best case complexity bound and there are generally diminishing marginal returns as algorithms approach that bound (i.e. lower hanging fruit are found first). E.g. no amount of intelligence is going to find an algorithm that can sort an array of any arbitrary Comparable type on a single CPU thread faster than O(n*log(n)). There's room for improvement in better adapting algorithms to cache hierarchy etc., but there's only a fixed amount of improvement that can be gained from that.

They have been doing this for years. Headline from 2016:

"DeepMind AI Reduces Google Data Centre Cooling Bill by 40%"

https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/deepmind-ai-reduces-go...


Running out of improvements after the first pass would prevent that. Who is to say this Alpha Evolve is not already obsolete, having already served its purpose?

Not to sound metaphysical or anything, but dependency on artificial intelligence seems to be something you would find at the peak of Mount Stupid (where the Darwin Awards are kept).

I am late for a chess game, l8r sk8rs.




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