Linkedin post: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/universita-bocconi_a-new-way-...

Posted at Thu, 08 May 2025 08:24:51 GMT according to https://trevorfox.com/linkedin-post-date-extractor.html

Prevost was at the top of the "status" list. They also published guesses by "information control" and "coalition building".

Totally. I'm not super impressed.

Thank you! That answers my question definitively.

It’s notable, of course, that Robert Prevost was highlighted in this post but left off of many other lists of papal candidates.

We’re only reading this particular list because Robert Prevost was at the top of it!

Thanks! Also, according to that LinkedIn post date extractor, this post by first author Giuseppe Soda was made on Thu, 08 May 2025 06:22:28 GMT:

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/giuseppe-beppe-soda-414749b0_...

Good question!

Leonardo Rizzo, one of the researchers, claimed on X.com that they published before the Pope was elected.

An X user commented:

> “Guessed” after the fact. Interesting nonetheless and worth sharing before the event next time!

Rizzo replied:

> Thanks a lot! We shared it the 8th morning on linkedin, the university website and few other sources (italian press). Next time I’ll also share it on X

https://x.com/LnrdRizzo/status/1920841806096343409

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/universita-bocconi_a-new-way-...

It is not that unlikely that some model predicts the right outcome. The only question is: can it be reproduced?

Forcing the conditions to allow this to be reproduced quickly would probably be unethical.

I know (of) a guy...

Interesting observation!

One explanation:

There’s a “Research” heading at the bottom that links to an article from today: “The Long Hand of Brussels on U.S. Businesses”, 09 May 2025 by Barbara Orlando.

Maybe they have a static site generator or even dynamic with caching that piled this in?

And even if. Just publish multiple versions and keep the one that is right.