So many people benefit from basic things like sorting tables, searching and filtering data etc.
Things were I might just use excel or a small script, they can now use an LLM for it.
And for now, we are still in dire need for more developers and not less. But yes I can imagine that after a golden phase of 5-15 years it will start to go down to the bottom when automaisation and ai got too good / better than the avg joe.
Nonetheless a good news is also that coding LLMs enable researchee too. People who often struggle learning to code.
When a company lays off a chunk of the workforce because the increased productivity due to LLMs means they don't need as many people, how is it an enabler for the laid off people.
What happens when most companies do this?
During the 10s, every dev out there was screaming "everyone should learn to code and get a job coding". During the 20s, many devs are being laid off.
For a field full of self-professed smart and logic people, devs do seem to be making tons of irrational choices.
Are we in need of more devs or in need of more skilled devs? Do we necessarily need more software written? Look at npm, the world is flooding in poorly written software that is a null reference exception away from crashing.
People get laid off when money is expensive. When money is expensive, running companies is harder. Starting a new company is even harder. Without capital, all you can offer is some words, a broken demo of your v1 prototype and some sweet words. You can't start a company with just that when money is expensive.
Right now we have not enough software developers at least based on surveys.
So now LLM helps us with that.
In parallel all the changes due to AI also need more effort for now. That's what I called golden age.
After that, I can imagine fundamental change for us developers.
And at least we're I live, a lot of small companies never got the chance to properly become modern due to the good developers earning very good money somewhere else.
I like to think that AI is to code what digital electronic was to analog electronic: a step backward in term of efficiency and 10 steps forward in term of flexibility.
Some of us will always maintain code, but most will move higher in the stack to focus on products and their real world application.
So many people benefit from basic things like sorting tables, searching and filtering data etc.
Things were I might just use excel or a small script, they can now use an LLM for it.
And for now, we are still in dire need for more developers and not less. But yes I can imagine that after a golden phase of 5-15 years it will start to go down to the bottom when automaisation and ai got too good / better than the avg joe.
Nonetheless a good news is also that coding LLMs enable researchee too. People who often struggle learning to code.