We really need to get nuanced about the discussion around LLMs in programming. My experience is that LLMs work great for producing glue code. Join together a bunch of well documented APIs? LLMs will make enough progress that I can finish it myself. Produce a pile of HTML and CSS for a nondescript design? I'll get at least a mostly working result that I can easily fix up. But try to, say, design a cross platform GUI library and the results are underwhelming. LLMs know a heck of a lot of stuff, but they are not very good at working with concepts.
The missing piece in your view here is that eventually nearly all code is or eventually becomes gibberish glue code, or it stops being used. LLMs just speed up the cycle.
