On any given day there are probably a thousand reasons the economy should fall apart tomorrow, and yet somehow it doesn't. Sometimes someone calls out one of the reasons on the exact day it falls apart tomorrow, and they feel like a god, but they just got lucky.
Coincidentally this is a very concise summary of the book "Fooled By Randomness". Bet you didn't know you were writing a book summary, but sometimes it just happens by chance :)