"What has been will be again, what has been done will be done again; there is nothing new under the sun." - King Solomon
Litter, palanquin, and sedan chair carriers were fired.
Oarsmen were fired.
Horses were fired.
. . . [time] . . .
COBOL programmers where fired.
and, so on.
What was the expectation; that programmers will be forever? Lest we forget, barely a century ago, programmers started to push out a large swath of non-programmers.
The more important question is what roles will push out whatever roles AI/LLMs create.
I was watching How It’s Made last night and watching how pencils were made, thinking how hard this would be and how expensive a pencil would be if a person had to make them and how an endless supply of them can be made this way. Then I thought about how software has allowed us to automate so many things and scale and I realized AI is the final step where we can automate and remove the programmers. Pencil makers were replaced and so will programmers be replaced. Your best hope is being the person running the pencil machine.
> Your best hope is being the person running the pencil machine.
Or, see what is coming and hop on that cart for the short lives we have.
Pencils. There is a hobby primitive survival, bushcraft, or primitive skills (youtuber John Plant in "Primitive Technology" is best example). I am certain we could come up with a path to create "pencils". We would just need to define what we agree to be a "pencil" first.
Is a stick of graphite or even wood charcoal wrapped in sheepskin a "pencil". Would a hollowed juniper branch stuffed with the writing material a "pencil"?
Litter, palanquin, and sedan chair carriers were fired.
Oarsmen were fired.
Horses were fired.
. . . [time] . . .
COBOL programmers where fired.
and, so on.
What was the expectation; that programmers will be forever? Lest we forget, barely a century ago, programmers started to push out a large swath of non-programmers.
The more important question is what roles will push out whatever roles AI/LLMs create.