that's the refelection you'll have if your neighbor is a psycho whose first thought every morning is to decide whether he should go around to shoot something, especially after the psycho neighbor has shooted to many ones already
You understand of course that you can replace psycho in your sentence with either party and it just describes the others beliefs.
There are living citizens of both countries that have shot at each other in a hot war. It’s not unreasonable in that case yo think it will happen again.