This is a good question. According to some the growth is exponential. Others think ChatGPT is basically still the same as it was at the end of 2022, minor differences aside. Why are the perspectives so different?
One of these archetypes is drowning in a hype-fueled news cycle, they mistake speculation for inevitability, dismiss skepticism as ignorance, and construct a reality where the technology's success is unquestionable.
The other is simply using the technology for what it's good for, observing that it's slowly, incrementally improving at tasks that it was already capable of since the major breakthrough, and acknowledging its limitations.
Incremental improvements don't give us any assurance that another major breakthrough is waiting around the corner.
