Nothing I’ve read or heard has made me believe there’s a market for supersonic airliner. This is very cool for sure but I don’t know how they’ll ever sell a full size passenger jet. I guess I’ll believe it when I see it.
Here's a quick validation of how well you're estimating the market: Without looking it up, how many commercial planes do you think are in the air right now?
Over the US during the day at any moment I'd say at least 5,000. Probably not more than 10? Not sure about the rest of the world. For Europe I'd guess probably half of that. Not sure about Asia, SA, and Africa though.
I wonder how many routes there are that would actually be well served by supersonic aircraft.
You're about right - 10k worldwide. So you've got at least 1000 business class seats full at any given time around the world.
In terms of routes that Boom's proposed plane can serve, you've got at bare minimum New York to London and Seattle to Tokyo, and lots of connections between Asian capitals where there's much less noise regulation and lots of money. I think their point is that if they can keep noise down, they will be successful operating long haul routes within NA, like LA to New York, San Francisco to New York, Seattle to New York, probably New York to Miami, LA to Toronto. My guess is that they end up with maintenance in Seattle, New York, Los Angeles.
