Being 'interesting' doesn't make you more likely to understand VPNs and opsec. I expect it makes you more likely to try, but there's a good chance of doing it ineffectively.
I disagree, it does significantly increase the likeliness. Like having cancer makes you significantly more likely to know a lot of medical facts about cancer.
If you fear for your life you are much more likely to have spent time researching how to protect yourself digitally.
There's a lot of nonsense too. In another HN thread, someone was explaining to me that email is more secure than Signal, and desktops more secure than phones - and they had a link to someone's blog to prove it.
That's a HN reader. For the non-technical, it is a minefield.
It is feasible to consider that interesting Signal users mostly use VPN as an extra protection layer.