The Russian angle is an interesting one I had not considered! Even the "threat" of an increased US presence in the Arctic would seem to apply some additional pressure on Russia.
It could also have interesting effects regarding Russia/Ukraine negotiations. Russia would be wise to consider if it really wants to open to door to a major powers territorial acquisition fire-sale....
If this is the actual reasoning, it would be one of the few times where the West has actually gotten the tone roughly correct regarding Putin. Strongman leaders struggle to see strength in anything except other strongman leaders.
It could also have interesting effects regarding Russia/Ukraine negotiations. Russia would be wise to consider if it really wants to open to door to a major powers territorial acquisition fire-sale....