Do you have anything other than a single counter example?
> for most of us HN would be more of a retirement community than a startup community.
What data have you seen that makes you believe it isn't? What makes you think it's a "startup community?" You're also forgetting just how long it takes for new technology to penetrate and how often it gets _integrated_ with what already existed. Merely seeing that this would occur did not magically create new opportunities. Not all technologies are transformative as you suggest.
I mean it was obvious that people would eventually order pizza using the Internet. That didn't mean you could run out and start an Internet enabled pizza business and then cash out.
> but I can also manage to temper that with my certainty not being absolute.
Battery life, weight, and connectivity were _obvious_ issues. If you think like an engineer rather than a temporarily embarrassed venture capitalist you might find that confidence very easily.
Do you have anything other than a single counter example?
> for most of us HN would be more of a retirement community than a startup community.
What data have you seen that makes you believe it isn't? What makes you think it's a "startup community?" You're also forgetting just how long it takes for new technology to penetrate and how often it gets _integrated_ with what already existed. Merely seeing that this would occur did not magically create new opportunities. Not all technologies are transformative as you suggest.
I mean it was obvious that people would eventually order pizza using the Internet. That didn't mean you could run out and start an Internet enabled pizza business and then cash out.
> but I can also manage to temper that with my certainty not being absolute.
Battery life, weight, and connectivity were _obvious_ issues. If you think like an engineer rather than a temporarily embarrassed venture capitalist you might find that confidence very easily.