Anything that current LLM's can do code-wise is overshadowed for me with what they can do product, design, marketing-wise. If LLM's actually break the productivity ceiling why would any developer bother working for anyone other than themself? Having a job and working for someone else just disproportionately improves their wealth while limiting yours.
If this turns out to be the case I'd expect to see unprecedented micro-software shops spring up overnight. Why bother burning yourself out working for a FAANG or F1000 when you could make more and be in control of your own destiny and happiness? The rise of entrepreneurship should follow actual increases of LLM productivity across the board.
"Why bother burning yourself out working for a FAANG or F1000 when you could make more and be in control of your own destiny and happiness?"
Because working for FAANG or another company lets you do your work and get paid regularly for that rather than doing sales - something most devs suck at.
It's a good point but I'm willing to bet there are thousands of devs who are smart and talented enough to land those positions who will absolutely jump at the chance to run their own business instead. There are many devs that can't get a job due to layoffs and schools are still turning out graduates each semester.
The skills they're not good at is exactly where AI (assuming it can of course) will be used. Why only use it for a 10% improvement on a skill you have vs a 100% improvement on a skill you don't have? Or why not both?
Hard economic times (layoffs) typically result in people starting their own projects/businesses. The last major downturn resulted in a mass influx of new startups and ideas. Of course most of them failed, but that's typical I suppose.
Anything that current LLM's can do code-wise is overshadowed for me with what they can do product, design, marketing-wise. If LLM's actually break the productivity ceiling why would any developer bother working for anyone other than themself? Having a job and working for someone else just disproportionately improves their wealth while limiting yours.
If this turns out to be the case I'd expect to see unprecedented micro-software shops spring up overnight. Why bother burning yourself out working for a FAANG or F1000 when you could make more and be in control of your own destiny and happiness? The rise of entrepreneurship should follow actual increases of LLM productivity across the board.