Those numbers mean nothing because obviously a fork in its inception will have a burst of activity. Half of those changes are probably just renaming redis => valkey, too.
Let's check the numbers in 6 months or a year for a truly meaningful figure about the health of each project.
I'm fine with using the activity comparison to declare a winner.
But valkey was created a few weeks ago, obviously it's going to have a burst of activity. However most forks die off rather quickly after the initial burst of enthusiasm. That one might be different, because it has corporate sponsors.
So, in 6 months, do the exact same comparison (recent activity, # of recent contributors) and it'll be good enough for me.
And that’s also true insofar as it’ll never be a perfect measure and in some cases (such as comparing a mature project to a brand new fork), it’s a bad measure.
Let's check the numbers in 6 months or a year for a truly meaningful figure about the health of each project.