I believe it largely depends on the application. If you have a lot of waste heat, it's potentially a way to get "free" refrigeration. (e.g., a paper plant that uses a lot of steam can use absorption chillers to make use of waste heat.) If fuel is much cheaper than electricity, it can be economically viable. Peak shaving can save lots of money. etc. But it's probably not competitive purely in terms of energy efficiency or GHG emissions.
If I had exact figures, I wouldn't need to ask for anyone's intuition. Thankfully, ChatGPT was willing to work with me, and I will summarize the results here.
Typical refrigeration COP (Coefficients of Performance):
Absorption refrigerator: 0.6-1.2
Compressor refrigerator: 1.5-4.0
Estimated TES economic advantage: 1.1-2.5x
Conclusion: yes, absorption refrigeration is probably inefficient enough to make it a long shot in this application. The only way I can see it becoming viable is if extremely hot TES can completely change the efficiency game, and then only just.
The temperature in TFA are outside the range of most commercial absorption chillers, so this is more about making cheap electricity. I would imagine absorption would be more applicable if the same tech was used to generate lower-quality heat that's not suitable for a combined-cycle generator.
> outside the range of most commercial absorption chillers
"Off the shelf" isn't a constraint here, sort of the opposite: I'm trying to imagine the space of things that are physically possible but not yet commercially mature. Theoretically, higher temperatures mean more possible efficiency. That's the one ray of hope in otherwise dismal efficiency figures that are currently only viable, as you point out, if the heat is ~free.
>Theoretically, higher temperatures mean more possible efficiency.
I think you might be conflating a few things here. For a cycle to produce electricity, that's correct. But the mechanism of absorption chillers is fundamentally different. The chemistry of the materials and their phase change temperatures are definitely a constraining factor. Could you, in theory, develop some other absorbent/refrigerant that works at those higher temperatures? I suppose, but I would suspect there are much easier ways to get efficiency gains.
