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I don't think anybody in 2014 believed that the performance of GPT-4/Claude Opus/... was 10 years away. 25 years maybe, 50 years probably, but not 10.



It wasn't just that, it was also all the deep learning stuff. Atari games playing themselves, deep style and variants. There was some interesting image generation happening. AlphaGo was 2015, etc. that was really when things started accelerating imo.




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