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From the beginning of the article:

> In 2015 Ben Blatt simulated the game and found that for P=4 and N=10, the average game will take 860 spins to finish.

> But this was based on a mere 50,000 simulated games! We can do better than a mere simulation. We can mathematically model the game and get exact numbers. So we're busting out PRISM.



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