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Which given the 8-10 year pipeline to become a physician, means we have yet to see the effects. It will take years more.



It doesn’t help that doctors and other healthcare professionals are leaving because of burnout. It will only get worse in my opinion.

“Warning signs for the U.S. health system are piling up”

“Nearly half of practicing U.S. physicians are older than 55”

https://www.axios.com/2023/10/26/health-care-doctor-shortage...


Considering 30 is pretty much the lower bound for becoming a physician, that stat sounds a little bit like "40% of employee absences happen on Mondays and Fridays". Alarmist and of zero value.


I thought about that, but it is indeed getting worse. If a doctor works from 30-70 (not sure what the average retirement age would be), then about 38% should be over 55. Clicking through to the actual statistics:

Percentage of active physicians aged 55 or older: 46.7% for 2021, 44.9% for 2019, 44.1% for 2017, 43.2% for 2015, 42.6% for 2013, 40.3% for 2010, 37.6% in 2007.

So that is a worrying trend, since increasing population should result in at least a steady state, if not decreasing average age.

Also, depends on specialty. 92.4% (!!) of specialists in pulmonary disease are over the age of 55. So I hope the aging population doesn't have any lung problems.

Data is here for 2022, with links to other years: https://www.aamc.org/data-reports/data/2022-physician-specia...




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