The goal should not be to expect doctors to use AI to assist.
The goal is to get AI to be superior to doctors such that AI replaces doctors.
AI should augment your skill such that the doctor is no longer needed. The problem with the US medical system is that they hold your life hostage then rip you off. Make no mistake people attribute this to complexity and other bullshit but the money ends up in the pockets of administrators and doctors.
You want to fix the system? Attack the root. Replace doctors.
It’ll have to be better than today’s spicy autocomplete technology to do that, though. ChatGPT will never be in the driver’s seat; it can’t be trusted.
> at the same time it's also the precursor to the thing that replaces programmers.
It seems far more likely that the successors will create more programmers, not unlike the evolution of the elevator. Newer elevator designs didn't replace the elevator operator. They allowed anyone to become the elevator operator.
By programming I mean something separate from typing English and asking something to spit out code. If my manager asks me to code an app, is he programming or am I?
>Similar to the evolution of the elevator. Newer elevators didn't replace the elevator operator. They allowed anyone to become the elevator operator.
By "replace" I mean replace someones job. Similar to how the elevator made elevator operators unemployed.
> If my manager asks me to code an app, is he programming or am I?
In the right context, I would say that it possible that the boss is programming you and that you are, ultimately, both programmers. But even if we only want to think of programming in terms of computers, that is not a concern when it comes to a ChatGPT-like thing. It will almost certainly be of a computer.
> By "replace" I mean replace someones job. Similar to how the elevator made elevator operators unemployed.
The job is still there, but with an effectively infinite supply of workers having joined the market, that pushed the price for the work to zero. That left anyone wanting to be paid more out of the market.
In the same vein, if your employer found someone willing to do your work for a lower wage, fired you, and hired them instead, it seems fair to say that you were replaced, but was the profession replaced?
Why would you expect "we have a better solution but we'll charge less for it" to be the outcome in a free market? That's just leaving money on the table.
Additionally keep in mind, this diagnosis was not made by a machine designed to be a "doctor".
The doctor part is a side effect. An emergent property. I can just imagine google running a powerful AI in the future and just using ads to fund the whole thing and the thing just completely demolishes the medical diagnosis industry just as an emergent side effect.
You need a moat to keep that going for very long. Doctors have a regulated market in which to build moats, but as this is said to be a free market, what moat-suitable ground might there be?
The goal is to get AI to be superior to doctors such that AI replaces doctors.
AI should augment your skill such that the doctor is no longer needed. The problem with the US medical system is that they hold your life hostage then rip you off. Make no mistake people attribute this to complexity and other bullshit but the money ends up in the pockets of administrators and doctors.
You want to fix the system? Attack the root. Replace doctors.