There’s an offshoot of this where they don’t know why anything worked, so they a... | Hacker News

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		bombcar on Aug 12, 2023 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: The Carrot Problem There’s an offshoot of this where they don’t know why anything worked, so they ascribe success to the things they hope worked.

leoc on Aug 12, 2023 | [–]

Viz. the screenwriter William Goldman’s “Nobody knows anything” from his book Adventures in the Screen Trade. https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1991-08-11-ca-807-st... https://variety.com/2018/film/opinion/william-goldman-dies-a...

123pie123 on Aug 12, 2023 | [–]

I was thinking the same. Luck also plays a huge part in this area, but will the highly paid managers admit this or even know about it

no - they'll say it's down to <insert absolutlty anything they can make up>

bombcar on Aug 12, 2023 | [–]

They admit luck plays a huge part - but only bad luck destroying their perfect plans.

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