it's less "keep rolling dice" and more getting a sense of what will work and what won't. The thing I liken it most to is watching a colleague try to google something for 30 mins and then you find it immediately first try because you know how to get google to do what you want.

Similarly, it happens extremely often that when I watch someone else using chatgpt I see what they're trying to do, and know I would have gone about it another way that would have worked.