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> The rate of new car production is fairly consistent. The only way to get 9 at 13.9 years is for 13.9 years ago cars to have been produced 9x as fast.

Its not at all consistent, and the reason the average age has gone up is supply chain issues driving costs up and sales down for new cars.




I didn’t say constant, just reasonably consistent. Individual years don’t matter much here it’s the overall trend we care about and the trend shows nothing close to an 9x increase and decrease:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TOTALSA (Note the graph minimum is 7.5 not 0.)




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