Reversion to the mean is vastly overlooked in this Bayesian world. If I do somet...

		hinkley on July 9, 2023 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Compa... Reversion to the mean is vastly overlooked in this Bayesian world. If I do something dangerous and win, then a roomful of people copying me have lower odds than I did, not better.