I'd flip that around: whether it will lose money off the credit, not whether it will make money. Based on my time in credit risk this is more accurate to how banks actually think about loans. The upside for each individual loan is much smaller than the downside, so the threat of loss dominates the discussion.
Once you flip it around like that it becomes much less attractive to think of forcing banks to make loans that they expect to lose money on.
> if not a democratic oversight, at the very least a clear set of democratically chosen rules over what kind of loans should be given.
Which, again, we already have. There are many rules and regulations about what information banks may and may not take into account when deciding which loans to approve, and what interest rate to charge. Rules put in place and enforced by the democratically elected government.
> Once you flip it around like that it becomes much less attractive to think of forcing banks to make loans that they expect to lose money on.
That's not what I'm proposing, though. I'm proposing that each loan would come with the creation of central money, such that any that falls through results in nothing more than a little bit of inflation. And the people who issue the loans would effectively be government workers. Or contractors or whatever, but they would do all this on behalf of the state.
> Which, again, we already have.
I have to confess ignorance here. Do we have rules that forbid specific industries from contracting loans? (Industries that are otherwise legal, I mean.)
There's no difference between "central" money and other money, though. It's all just money.
> Do we have rules that forbid specific industries from contracting loans?
Regulations differ by jurisdiction, but generally you can't do any kind of banking business without being licensed specifically as a bank. For example, if you get a car loan "from the dealership" it's not actually the dealership giving you the loan, but a bank that they partner with.
You misunderstood my question. I was asking, are there industries, say Oil or Porn, who are by law or regulation forbidden to borrow money from any bank?
I'd flip that around: whether it will lose money off the credit, not whether it will make money. Based on my time in credit risk this is more accurate to how banks actually think about loans. The upside for each individual loan is much smaller than the downside, so the threat of loss dominates the discussion.
Once you flip it around like that it becomes much less attractive to think of forcing banks to make loans that they expect to lose money on.
> if not a democratic oversight, at the very least a clear set of democratically chosen rules over what kind of loans should be given.
Which, again, we already have. There are many rules and regulations about what information banks may and may not take into account when deciding which loans to approve, and what interest rate to charge. Rules put in place and enforced by the democratically elected government.