The promise was that if we were clever and educated enough we could stay above water. Now I think the deal has been altered, and I think the people who aren't going to be screwed are doing blue collar jobs. We still can't get reliable self driving, so I don't think a robot will be a nurse any time soon, or a carpenter.
I think it was foolish for us to have been making and believing each others’ predictions about where automation will happen. In retrospect, the core question was “how automatable is this activity”, and we were instead answering the question “how much do humans get paid for doing this activity”.
