One more thing to consider: The new iron curtain, now called "sanctions".
My best guess currently would be that the US will try to outlaw the competing market should one arise: The US will just forbid its people and the people in the allied countries to make business with China, like they do with a lot of other countries, like Russia or Iran.
It's unlikely this would happen immediately as the US is currently still depended on China. But as the economic war intensives walling-off will happen at some point. There are already "sanctions" in place against Chinese companies in some market areas. This will likely only worsen over time.
You can still invest in China, sure. But you will be forced to move there at some point, or loss everything over there, I guess.
I think that the sanctions policy is terribly misguided, because they are basically trade protection in reverse. They may have some results in the short term, but in the long term they always backfire, unless when applied to terribly poor countries who are caught in a trap where they can't bootstrap their industry by themselves.
My best guess currently would be that the US will try to outlaw the competing market should one arise: The US will just forbid its people and the people in the allied countries to make business with China, like they do with a lot of other countries, like Russia or Iran.
It's unlikely this would happen immediately as the US is currently still depended on China. But as the economic war intensives walling-off will happen at some point. There are already "sanctions" in place against Chinese companies in some market areas. This will likely only worsen over time.
You can still invest in China, sure. But you will be forced to move there at some point, or loss everything over there, I guess.