Most food packaging is made with aluminium. Aluminium is down 30% YoY but up 50% in the past 3 years. It's been a wild ride for manufacturers and they increased prices to handle this. Same with energy, the average cost is 50% up from ~3 years ago. Not just electricity that powers up the factories, but the oil for everything logistics.
If you're Unilever/P&G/Nestlé, what do you do? You start cutting costs (less/worse materials - that's called skimpflation), total production volumes or less volume per product (shrinkflation). You also are not as inclined as before to give out promotions and benefits. The good old "pay 1 take 2" is now "pay 1 take half". Retailers get squeezed because they can't just pass the whole price raise down to the end customer, so they suck it up a little and get less profits. They also had more operational costs, so they get screwed (mostly the people working there). The smaller ones may shut down or get M&A'd, the big ones survive.
To make matters worse, the world is simply unpredictable right now. Post-covid you would expect some categories would go up (deodorants, for example), but then you have a war in Ukraine and a global rise in interest rates. When managers can't predict they go with the worst-case scenarios in their pricing strategies, reinforcing all that's bad.
Personally, I'm saving what I can, investing in inflation-indexed bonds and the occasional "buy the dip" for some select stocks, freezing cooked foods with a month in advance, and being very cautious with any job movements. I hope I'm wrong but I believe that will be the way to go for at least a year, if not more.
There is a 2007 book by john Michael Greer - "The Long Descent: A User's Guide to the End of the Industrial Age". It was the first in 10 books on the subject of industrial decline over the course of a few centuries.
I wish so badly that he was wrong about these things, but every day it looks a little more like he got an absolute home run on this topic.
The only other advice I would give to people is, if there is something you need to buy now and you can - do it! Key word here is 'need'. I have been buying in bulk for years now and switching over to equipment that will last a long time. It doesn't mean you will be 100% fine but you can ride the dips as they come.
Yes. People need to own their own homes, especially Millennials who are struggling to do this (and Zoomers will, too) because not only has pension age been going up while Millennials have been growing up, but the amount hasn't really changed for the better either (pension age should go down and amount goes up and a sign of economic progress).
Which means that pensioners NEED to own their own homes instead of paying rent because the entire system is still designed around that fact. I'm sure it's possible to be renting as a pensioner but it's not ideal at all.
People should own their own homes. People should be restricted to owning only a single home. Homes should be easily transferrable and prices should be heavily restricted/controlled. But that'll never happen, it's too late for that as a lot of false value has already been extracted from them so people who own homes with overblown prices have paid that amount. It's the ones that paid nothing for their house and now see it worth .5-1mn that need a forced reality check. Otherwise houses are just poker chips for rich people; I live in London and even in the outer areas new apartments are being built with each apartment going for 700k-1mn£...for a fucking apartment.
If you're Unilever/P&G/Nestlé, what do you do? You start cutting costs (less/worse materials - that's called skimpflation), total production volumes or less volume per product (shrinkflation). You also are not as inclined as before to give out promotions and benefits. The good old "pay 1 take 2" is now "pay 1 take half". Retailers get squeezed because they can't just pass the whole price raise down to the end customer, so they suck it up a little and get less profits. They also had more operational costs, so they get screwed (mostly the people working there). The smaller ones may shut down or get M&A'd, the big ones survive.
To make matters worse, the world is simply unpredictable right now. Post-covid you would expect some categories would go up (deodorants, for example), but then you have a war in Ukraine and a global rise in interest rates. When managers can't predict they go with the worst-case scenarios in their pricing strategies, reinforcing all that's bad.
Personally, I'm saving what I can, investing in inflation-indexed bonds and the occasional "buy the dip" for some select stocks, freezing cooked foods with a month in advance, and being very cautious with any job movements. I hope I'm wrong but I believe that will be the way to go for at least a year, if not more.