Well for Homo sapiens the odds are probably a hundredth or a thousandth of that.
It’s 50/50 that in 150 years some version of our descendants will exist, i.e. something that you can trace a direct line from Homo sapiens to. Say a Homo sapiens in a different substrate, like “human on a chip”.
The thing is if you can get “human on a chip” then you probably also can get “something different and better than human on a chip”, so why bother.
By the 24th century there’ll be no Homo sapiens Captain Picard exploring the quadrant in a gigantic ship that needs chairs, view screens, artificial gravity, oxygen, toilets and a bar. That’s an unlikely future for our species.
More likely whatever replaces the thing that replaces the thing that replaced us won’t know or care about us, much less need or want us around.
It’s 50/50 that in 150 years some version of our descendants will exist, i.e. something that you can trace a direct line from Homo sapiens to. Say a Homo sapiens in a different substrate, like “human on a chip”.
The thing is if you can get “human on a chip” then you probably also can get “something different and better than human on a chip”, so why bother.
By the 24th century there’ll be no Homo sapiens Captain Picard exploring the quadrant in a gigantic ship that needs chairs, view screens, artificial gravity, oxygen, toilets and a bar. That’s an unlikely future for our species.
More likely whatever replaces the thing that replaces the thing that replaced us won’t know or care about us, much less need or want us around.