A reasonable person might also overlook that one word.

"Overlooking" is not an affordance one should hand to a machine. At minimum, it should bail and ask for correction.

That it doesn't, that relentless stupid overconfidence, is why trusting this with anything of note is terrifying.

Why not? We should ask how the alternatives would do especially as human reasoning is machine. It’s notable that the errors of machine learning are getting closer and closer to the sort of errors humans make.

Would you have this objection if we for example perfectly copied a human brain in a computer? That would still be a machine. That would make similar mistakes

I don't think the rules for "machines" apply to AI any more than they apply to the biological machine that is the human brain.

its not missing that it's transparent, it's that it only says you picked "one" of the doors, not the one you think has the car