Expecting progress to be linear is a fallacy in thinking. | Hacker News

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		pwinnski on March 14, 2023 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: GPT-4 Expecting progress to be linear is a fallacy in thinking.

kenjackson on March 14, 2023 [–]

Sometimes it's exponential. Sometimes it's sublinear.

pwinnski on March 15, 2023 | [–]

Sometimes it's exponential over very short periods. The fallacy is in thinking that will continue.

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