We don't know yet, because that information is only available in the future.
>I don't see any real understanding only human like appearance.
There isn't, but trying to find that in currently available LLMs just means you are seeking the wrong things. Did workers who weaved magnetic core memories in the 1950s expect those devices to store LLMs with billions of parameters? Yet the design and operation of these devices were crucial stepping stones towards computer memory devices that exist today. The future will look at GPT-4 in the same way we look at magnetic core memories in the present.
AI will prove to be an excellent mechanism for extracting and retaining tacit (institutional) knowledge. (Think 'Outsourcing to AI')
A lot of institutional verbiage, formalisms, procedures, and machanisms are ~giberish for the general public but meaningful within the domain. Training machines that can informationally interact within that universe of semantics is powerful and something these machines will likely do quite well.
If you have domain knowledge, you should ramp up on your prompting skills. That way, there will be a business case for keeping you around.
I tried ChatGPT multiple times with real technical questions (use of custom code and custom assemblies in SSRS) and I got beautiful answers with code sample and such, but they were all wrong.
I was told to use features that don't exist and as I mentioned that, I was told that's because I use an old version of the software.
But this feature doesn't exist in any version
So I highly doubt that it will be a reliable source of information.
These programs are text generators not AI. They are chinese rooms on steroids without any understanding.
Impressive as long you don't look behind the curtain.
The applications I listed are not assuming anything beyond a text generator that can be trained on a domain's explicit and tacit knowledge. They are not going to "innovate" in the domain, they will automate the domain.
I don't see any real understanding only human like appearance.
So we don't get new knowledge but better spam and disinformation campaigns.