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This feels like the AI’s iPhone moment.

I am scared for all people working service jobs.




I’m still waiting on that pizza I asked ChatGPT to make in November. The code it wrote? Already in production though.

I’m not scared for service workers due to ai but you should see how low minimum wage is in America relative to rents if you want to be scared.


Maybe if you had asked for fries instead

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4-qsklXphs


> I am scared for all people

Probably could stop there.


Yeah that is actually true.

Yeah that’s probably truest.

But I’m more scared for some than others short term.

I’m less immediately scared for anyone doing work that interacts with the physical world.

Weird how it turned out the robotics was harder than the thinking


Yes, short term agreed.

AI has flipped on its head much of what we thought early AI would be like with creativity being one of its most successful targets.

I suspect the surprises will only continue to be, lets say, more surprising.

I've actually written a lot about that recently as well. FYI https://dakara.substack.com/p/ai-and-the-end-to-all-things


Will check this out!


I am scared for all people working service jobs.

Why? Because they're no longer doomed to eke out a meaningless existence doing a robot's job badly?


It’s better than having no job isn’t it?


No. The only way to a post-scarcity economy is by continuing to harness technology whenever and wherever possible.

There has been, and will be, no point in time at which the optimal strategy is "Stop" or "Wait" or "What about my job?"


> The only way to a post-scarcity economy

There is no way to a post-scarcity economy, the phrase is a contradiction, and scarcity is an inescapable consequence of human desire.


There's no scarcity of information and media.


There’s no scarcity of bullshit articles. There’s a massive scarcity of quality information and media.

But that’s unavoidable really because it’s based on perception - There will always be a top 10% of something and a bottom 90%.


> There's no scarcity of information and media.

There is scarcity of information and media of the kind people find valuable. If there is a sense in which the broader statement is true, it is irrelevant for that reason.


The same things were said during the industrial revolution, or the internet revolution. Guess what happened? Labor market adapted.


Physical machines still needed many people to physically make them and run them.

This isn’t the same with thinking. Just look at how startups can have millions of customers and 20 employees.

Also last time we had mental labour to fall back on. This time we don’t.

It’s different this time.

Also most western countries which have given up on manufacturing are going to be worse hit because their jobs are more easily replaced.


This isn’t the same with thinking.

We don't know that.

We know that the exact same objections have been raised before, and have always, without a single exception, proven to be invalid in the long run.


More worried for the programmers. As we saw with copilot junior levels are definitely directly in the firing line here


All jobs will shift to asteroid mining.


AI is the perfect job for asteroid mining, or any other job outside of Earth orbit, whether for research or commerce. Space is incredibly hostile to humans and, short of some miracle technology, is likely to always remain so: at best we'll have a few plant-the-flag missions in the inner solar system.


I really wish we'd build a standarized space exploration platform and saturate the solar system with mostly-autonomous robots that occasionally phone home with "wtf is this?"

imagine all the surface area in the solar system. I bet there's got to be at least 100 completely unexpected things lying around that would transform our understanding.


Yeah, but now you've gotta build a better AI that can go "that's a rock, you dummy" to the million or two false positives.


yes, we call those "Graduate Students"


what's stopping AI from asteroid mining for itself




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