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As someone who only ever bought what you would describe as "trash" cars of up to 2000 Euros, let me give you some data.

Looking through my car repair/TCO excel file, I average to about 60 Euros per month in maintenance and repairs (that includes stuff like new tires every once in a while). Over the average lifetime of my cars (which is 5 years), that's 3600 Euros in repairs and maintenance. I regularly sell the cars for 500 Euros, so that's a TCO of ((2000-500)+3600) = 5100 Euros per vehicle, or about 1020 Euros per year.

The initial, 6-month manufacturer-suggested service for a new car alone is upwards of 2000 Euros, for a car that should not have and trouble. Most cars are nowadays impossible to repair yourself, or repair cheaply (new headlight bulb was 3 Euros before, now you have to change the whole 1300 Euro unit). But let's assume I'll have 150 Euros in maintenance per month... that's 9000 Euros. Depreciation over 5 years easily is a third of the vehicle's value, let's say 10000 Euros overall, on top of maintenance and repairs. Together, I get to a TCO per year of 3800 Euros, or a whopping 2780 Euros more!

Now, fuel efficiency. I drive about 25000 km/year. My clunkers consume - on average - 7.5 liters per 100 km - that's about 31.4 MPG. For something comparable, the manufacturer (if we want to believe them) currently lists about 5.8 liters per 100 km, or 40.6 MPG. This means that I could save 475 liters of fuel with a new car. A liter right now costs about 1.80 Euros, meaning I am leaving savings of 855 Euros on the table.

So ... I pay 2780 Euros more to save 855 Euros - BEFORE the extra cost of a loan to buy a new car ... NOT a good deal.



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