I'm going to disagree with you. EV adoption is an s-curve and we're at the bottom of it. There will be rapid adoption once it gets going, just like there was for other technical changes, including cars themselves.
All the problems with EVs are manufacturing at scale issues that will go away.
Currently EVs have enough demand that there's 6+ month waiting list where I live for all the models I've looked at. That tells me that although they're a small % of the market right now, they want to be a bigger share.
I watched a review of a Byd Atto3 yesterday. That's a cheaper EV and the reviewer said he couldn't believe how well built it seemed + features at it's price point. We're at the start of the road here, manufacturing at scale is one of those things people always seem to underestimate.
The question is probably: can we dig up enough lithium? I think everything else is irrelevant tbh.
S-curve is in 3 parts. Early, middle & late. The early & late phases are quite long with few people in each. The middle stage is quick with most people.
Many people think they are late adopters. Most aren't, but some are.
Even those of us who do have private garages end up having to use them for other purposes like storage, home gyms, workshops, etc. In high cost areas it's exorbitantly expensive to buy a larger home so people use the garage for other purposes and park their cars on the street.
Most people with garages don't park in the garage, they park in front of the garage. But you can still plug the car in when you're parked in front of the garage.
All the problems with EVs are manufacturing at scale issues that will go away.
Currently EVs have enough demand that there's 6+ month waiting list where I live for all the models I've looked at. That tells me that although they're a small % of the market right now, they want to be a bigger share.
I watched a review of a Byd Atto3 yesterday. That's a cheaper EV and the reviewer said he couldn't believe how well built it seemed + features at it's price point. We're at the start of the road here, manufacturing at scale is one of those things people always seem to underestimate.
The question is probably: can we dig up enough lithium? I think everything else is irrelevant tbh.