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You can't make a nuke look like a power plant explosion; they're simply too different. No nuclear power station can explode in that fashion.

A bomb over the ocean wouldn't demonstrate any new capacity, and would be seen as the bluff it would almost certainly be.

A nuke on Ukranian soil would further open the floodgates of Western aid, expand sanctions, and push more nations firmly into the EU/NATO fold as Finland and Sweden already have been.



A nuke on Ukrainian soil also has the problem of the prevailing wind direction being from west to east. Detonating a nuke on Ukraine looks a lot like detonating a (smaller) dirty bomb on Russia.




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