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It's so weird to me that people pretend that Waymo and Cruise don't exist. And with the recent wider release of Tesla's "FSD", if it wasn't handling 99% of it properly you would hear about collisions all over the place. And I know there have been some here and there before. But this is a massive deployment of AI. If it doesn't work there are going to be a LOT of crashes. But there are not. Because it works.



No in Tesla's case it is because a person still has to be on the wheel to correct any potential errors.


You think if it was failing any significant amount to drive in a safe way, with this wide deployment, there wouldn't be a lot of crashes? Having an AI drive is the best way to make the driver zone out. At this point, it usually fails by going into intersections a little too slowly.


There's entire YouTube channels dedicated to videos of Tesla Self Driving doing stupid things like trying to turn into a tram. At scale, 99.99% correct will still kill many thousands of people. Compared to the sheer volume of cars, there aren't actually that many Teslas out there.


I enjoy videos on the self driving space and Tesla's technical (not business) approach to it. Its produced results that were actually quite a bit better than I expected at this stage.

I still regularly see videos of Tesla's beta software attempting to pull out into traffic in situations that clearly could have very bad outcomes. I still see so much phantom braking that its a collision risk.

I wouldn't call it dangerous, in the sense that it is done well enough that the person at the wheel should be able to handle it, but it'd crash a lot without an attentive driver.

Its a long way from 99% reliability at this point.


The driver won't zone out if it is only getting it correct a tiny fraction of the time.


and conveniently ignoring that Cruise and Waymo have been running around for months in San Francisco with fingers crossed no major incident


Waymo has been running in Phoenix for years.


Let me know when it scales.




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