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Probably more like July.

It's going to take a long time for these loans to get liquidated, and then processed through the repo markets.

And likely the lenders will hold the repo'd asset longer if they can to not create a glut of vehicles. The way this really get's great for buying repo'd sports cars is if we get forced liquidations from the lenders.

It's going to be a bloodbath.



According to some video I saw on YouTube, there's already a large number of repossessed vehicles that banks are being very slow to release to the market, because they want to keep the prices high.


That's something that works when repossessions are still relatively low. Right now, most people are still employed and car payments are pretty high on the list of must pay bills, right behind mortgages. It's the same thing hedge funds do when taking or exiting a big position, move slowly to avoid spooking the market.

If someone like Carvana has to liquidate cars at a loss to keep the lights on, you're going to see a FLOOD of cars hit the market as you'll have a rapidly depreciating asset and nobody will want to hold.




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