According to the latest reports, SBF is potentially on the run on a private jet [0] from the Bahamas to (probably) Argentina. He hasn't been confirmed to be on that plane, but it seems likely. This stuff is straight out of movie.
If he is in fact on the run... Does this dude really think the CIA and FBI won't find him? He's likely not safe anywhere but Russia, China, North Korea or Israel.... maybe Pakistan.
"In contrast, Russian cryptobros that I know tend to act very, very lowkey. The fewer people know about your activities, the better. Posting about dealing with crypto in social media is absolutely unthinkable. Why? Because that makes you too easy and lucrative prey"
That thread describes how a basement was found, in the house of an official in the Russian prison system, which appears to have been specifically designed for the capture and torture of crypto owners to give up their coins. It had its own crematorium for disposing of the remains.
If these guys think that they can take some coins and live a nice life in a place without strong rule of law, they have a nasty surprise waiting for them
> 5. That may explain why Russian army and the military equipment are so archaic btw. In order to create something new, e.g. drones you normally need non-violent entrepreneurs who would actually create stuff. In Russia they're being wiped out by the violent ones. Hence, no drones
Iran has drones. Does that mean Iran is an example of "an artificial, abnormal environment which selected out the violent entrepreneurs, allowing the non-violent ones to flourish"?
The design elements are:
1) it is designed to look exactly like a prison, so the occupant thinks he will get out. Thus, it is designed for extortion.
2) a crematorium is provided, anticipating the requirement to be used many times in a similar way.
This doesn't fit the profile of political enemies very well.
1) political enemies commit political acts, which can be extorted but not normally after you are dead. Crypto still works after you are dead
2) each political enemy would stand in a slightly different relation or context to you, which suggests a bespoke approach not a system. Crypto owners can all be processed in the same way
Well then, he's only got 3 to 4 other options. I'm particularly displeased by this situation. I got Gox'd thrice over. It hasn't happened in 8 years, so I'm not effected in this instance. However, I am just rather unhappy that it is still happening to folks.
Why would the CIA and FBI care? It's not like they are going to send Navy SEALs after him. This is a DoJ matter, and the most they will do is file extradition requests. If the country he is in decides to ignore them, well that's about it.
He stole from rich people. Madoff made the same mistake. Parallel construction is how the CIA would be involved helping the FBI or foreign police to nab him. I'm just pointing out that his threat model has now increased by several orders of magnitude. He'll never get away from this unless he does an Epstein.
There is a history of people committing crimes or being suspected of doing so in US and running away to Israel and avoiding extradition due to their laws.[1] I can gather more examples to illustrate a pattern or at least proclivity but it's late and I'm off to bed.
> There is a history of people committing crimes or being suspected of doing so in US and running away to Israel and avoiding extradition due to their laws.
Did you maybe forgot to mention that those people were Israeli citizens?
Sometimes yes, but historically in general they haven't extradited their citizens for financial crimes against foreigners. I believe it changed a few years ago, at least on paper?
Interestingly enough, the plane seems to be headed for Buenos Aires, and there is LABITCONF (https://en.labitconf.com/), a crypto conference, going on there right now. Who knows if it’s actually his plane. Seems a bit weird that it would be given the plane is registered in Argentina.
But was he really in the Bahamas before? Or somewhere in the US
Argentina is an... interesting choice, and I'm sure he'll adapt just fine to the place and the bureaucracy and also there's no guarantee that's a safe haven in any way.
Edit: flight is showing as n.1 being tracked worldwide
[0] https://www.flightradar24.com/LVKEB/2e2e7cfd