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There may be thousands of people in the entire world who understand cryptanalysis well enough to accurately judge the security of modern ciphers. Most aren't living or working in the U.S.

It's very difficult to do better. The mathematics is complex and computer science hasn't achieved proofs of the hypotheses underlying cryptography. The best we can achieve is heuristic judgements about what the best possible attacks are, and P?=NP is an open question.



> The mathematics is complex and computer science hasn't achieved proofs of the hypotheses underlying cryptography.

No unconditional proofs (except for the OTP ofc), but there are quite a few conditional proofs. For example, it's possible to show that CBC is secure if the underlying block cipher is.




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