I honestly think this would have worked out quite well for Russia if they would have managed to take the Ukraine swiftly. Sure, there would be some sanction, but they could have either sat it out or negotiated down for giving back half of the Ukraine (fir example).

Now, though, his military looks weak and the constant stream of war pictures has forced other countries into harsh actions. He can still get a pyrrhic victory, but for the most part this looks like a lost cause.