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Incentives are:

- Russia will want to make this war as short as possible. They have their objectives (occupy Donezk and Luhansk + some more, destroy the offensive power of the Ukranian army and destroy the infrastructure needed for reinforcements ) and then declare the thing a success.

- The US wants it to go on as long as possible, so they will indirectly intervene by financing and supporting any insurgents.



I hope not, because Ukraine borders several NATO countries, and we don't want that to spill over. So I hope the US won't fund insurgents, they can't win anyway.


Those are the stated objectives only. If they were the true objectives, why are most of Russia's troops in Kyiv?


Force a formal capitulation




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