My scenario isn't meant to be WW3. It's just a conflict over Taiwan, presuming that it doesn't spiral into WW3. WW3 changes everything in such ways, my home ownership doesn't matter. Good chance my city is bombed and I die. What I'm focused on is the chance of a temporary dip in the market as I'm interested in buying in the short term (12-24 months).
How into the geopolitics of China-US relations are you? I ask because my reason that we're at high risk for a conflict and now low over Taiwan is that China just upgraded their navy, while we have a refresh going on right now. Once that investment is complete China will have essentially the window closed on any hope of winning the conflict. They have to move relatively quickly to have a realistic chance at taking over Taiwan, if US determination is resolute in stopping them at least. It could happen at any time.
How into the geopolitics of China-US relations are you? I ask because my reason that we're at high risk for a conflict and now low over Taiwan is that China just upgraded their navy, while we have a refresh going on right now. Once that investment is complete China will have essentially the window closed on any hope of winning the conflict. They have to move relatively quickly to have a realistic chance at taking over Taiwan, if US determination is resolute in stopping them at least. It could happen at any time.